PART I. HOW DO I GET STARTED Who are your clients? What are he Key Questions? PART II. WHERE IS THE INFORMATION I NEED? How Do Models Help My Analysis? What Types of Information are Available? PART III. WHAT IS MY ARGUMENT? Are my Key Assumptions Well-Founded? Can I Make My Case? PART IV. HOW DO I CONVEY MY MESSAGE EFFECTIVELY? Is My Argument Persuasive? How Should I Portray Probability, Levels of Confidence, and Quantitative Data? PART V. CASE STUDIES Countering the Iranian Nuclear Threat: Stuxnet and its Broader Implications Puzzling Food Poisoning in Germany The End of the Era of Aircraft Carriers Financial Crises in the United States Yemen: An Expanding Security Threat?